Quote:
Originally Posted by Weatherman
I would expect a wave 4 to take approximately as long as a wave 2, but a range of half as long to twice as long would not be surprising.
The only rule that I recall is that the bottom of wave 4 never goes below the top of wave 1. Keep in mind, however, that EW "always" and "never" both translate into "sometimes" in the real world.  You can count on wave 4 to stop at one of the Fibonacci number retracement levels, or somewhere in between.
If you are thinking about using my EW views as a guideline for buying and selling, I strongly recommend that you learn to play the appropriate musical instrument so that you can become your own pied piper.  I don't bet on my EW guesses, and I wouldn't encourage anyone else to do so either.  After all the appropriate adjustments for future price action, EW is excellent at telling us where the market has been. It is a useful rear view mirror, but I don't count on it to tell me where or when the next curve will be in the road ahead. I will be really happy if EW only gives me some perspective about whether or not the next section of road is likely to be uphill or downhill. Be cautious with my guesses, because your mileage may vary. 
|
Agree on your thesis. No problem I am just looking for a guide & realise that EW seems based retrospectively in counting waves.

I am just reading & learning as much as possible & understand EW doesn't have all the answers so am watching many things.Fibs, stocastics etc. There are many factors to consider in any plan but appreciate the many graphs, charts & those more knowledgable @ GIM than I have to offer.
